Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus
1. Impact
2. Description of the event
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
3.3 ENS
The plots below show the tropical cyclone track for TC Gaemi for the operational ECMWF forecasts from 24 July 00UTC (first plot) to 18 July 00UTC (last plot). The symbols shows the position on 24 July 12UTC (hourglass for BestTrack). HRES (red), ENS CF (blue), ENS PF (grey) and BestTrack (black). AIFS is included in green.
The plots below shows the same as above but for the e-suite.
The plots below show the tropical cyclone intensity (central pressure - top, maximum wind -bottom) for TC Gaemi for the operational ECMWF forecasts from 24 July 00UTC (first plot) to 18 July 00UTC (last plot). HRES (red), ENS CF (blue), ENS PF (grey) and BestTrack (black). AIFS is included in green.
The plots below shows the same as above but for the e-suite.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
4. Experience from general performance/other cases
5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event